Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (24.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +38 (127-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 27 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 26 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 25 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 25 | 1-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| David Duke Jr. | 18 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| RaiQuan Gray | 12 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 28 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 26 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 19 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 15 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 8 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter