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2024-04-10

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% - ✗
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 ✗ (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% - ✓
Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 80.5% 19.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 80.6% 19.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 69.5% 30.5% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -10 (100-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 37 9-17 5-12 8-8 8 3 2 0 31 - -
Herbert Jones * 37 1-5 1-4 4-4 4 2 2 0 7 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 10-19 5-10 4-4 5 3 2 0 29 - -
Zion Williamson * 33 7-18 0-0 8-9 7 3 1 1 22 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 20 5-12 0-2 1-2 8 5 2 0 11 - -
Dyson Daniels 28 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 5 1 1 4 - -
Jose Alvarado 19 1-6 0-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 2 2 0 2 - -
Jordan Hawkins 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Matt Ryan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Cody Zeller 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scoot Henderson * 40 7-18 2-10 3-3 3 15 1 0 19 - -
Kris Murray * 37 4-8 4-6 2-2 5 2 1 2 14 - -
Deandre Ayton * 35 15-22 0-1 0-0 13 1 1 0 30 - -
Rayan Rupert * 33 2-9 2-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 6 - -
Jabari Walker * 28 2-5 0-1 0-0 10 0 0 0 4 - -
Dalano Banton 31 4-11 2-8 2-2 3 3 0 1 12 - -
Justin Minaya 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 - -
Duop Reath 12 5-8 2-3 0-1 5 1 0 0 12 - -

* = starter