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2024-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 59.3% 40.7% -2.1 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% -
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.9% 54.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (120-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 32 10-16 5-10 2-2 0 3 1 1 27 16 -
Draymond Green * 32 5-7 5-7 0-2 6 10 0 1 15 25 -
Stephen Curry * 32 7-9 6-6 3-4 7 8 1 2 23 32 -
Andrew Wiggins * 28 7-12 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 3 17 12 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 24 2-5 0-0 3-5 7 0 0 3 7 12 -
Chris Paul 24 5-10 1-4 0-0 6 9 0 0 11 16 -
Jonathan Kuminga 21 2-8 1-3 3-4 6 3 1 0 8 10 -
Brandin Podziemski 20 5-6 3-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 13 12 -
Gary Payton II 13 3-6 2-3 1-2 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
Moses Moody 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Usman Garuba 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Gui Santos 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Lester Quinones 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Pat Spencer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 37 3-11 2-7 6-6 2 7 0 0 14 12 -
LeBron James * 35 14-22 1-3 4-5 7 11 2 0 33 31 -
Austin Reaves * 34 8-15 4-7 2-3 7 6 0 0 22 20 -
Rui Hachimura * 30 7-21 2-7 4-4 11 2 1 2 20 15 -
Jaxson Hayes * 28 5-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 11 14 -
Spencer Dinwiddie 22 4-7 3-5 1-1 4 0 0 0 12 9 -
Taurean Prince 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 -2 -
Gabe Vincent 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 1 -
Cam Reddish 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Maxwell Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 2-3 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Skylar Mays 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Max Christie 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Colin Castleton 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -

* = starter