Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | -9.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -16 (95-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 12-20 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 28 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 27 | 11-20 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 28 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 23 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omer Yurtseven * | 37 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Johnny Juzang * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keyonte George * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 32 | 10-23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 20 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jason Preston | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter