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Sacramento Kings 105
@
Oklahoma City Thunder 112
2024-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 12.3% 87.7% - ✓
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.4 ✓ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - ✓
Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +7 (112-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 42 12-29 7-17 2-4 8 6 2 0 33 - -
Keegan Murray * 38 5-16 3-10 2-2 10 2 0 0 15 - -
Keon Ellis * 35 9-17 8-15 0-0 6 5 2 2 26 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 2-7 0-0 4-7 13 5 1 0 8 - -
Harrison Barnes * 26 1-8 0-4 8-10 6 0 1 0 10 - -
Trey Lyles 22 1-7 1-5 0-0 7 0 2 1 3 - -
Davion Mitchell 21 3-10 1-6 1-1 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Alex Len 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 - -
Colby Jones 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 37 11-21 2-3 16-20 7 4 2 2 40 - -
Jalen Williams * 35 5-11 1-2 0-0 6 4 1 0 11 - -
Chet Holmgren * 34 5-9 2-5 3-6 9 2 2 2 15 - -
Luguentz Dort * 30 6-11 3-6 3-4 2 2 2 0 18 - -
Josh Giddey * 21 2-7 0-4 0-0 4 3 1 2 4 - -
Isaiah Joe 19 4-7 2-5 0-0 4 1 2 0 10 - -
Aaron Wiggins 18 3-4 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Cason Wallace 18 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 3 - -
Jaylin Williams 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Kenrich Williams 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Mike Muscala 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter