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2024-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Log Adjusted 50.5% 49.5% -
Points Off/Def 45.3% 54.7% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +12 (118-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 36 7-19 0-5 7-7 7 6 0 0 21 - -
Markelle Fultz * 34 8-18 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 1 18 - -
Gary Harris * 30 2-3 2-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Jalen Suggs * 28 7-13 2-5 5-5 2 4 2 2 21 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 7 - -
Jonathan Isaac 21 4-6 1-2 1-2 8 1 2 1 10 - -
Moritz Wagner 21 4-8 0-0 4-4 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Joe Ingles 17 2-6 1-4 2-3 3 2 0 1 7 - -
Cole Anthony 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -
Caleb Houstan 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Anthony Black 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chuma Okeke 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Trevelin Queen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jett Howard 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Smith Jr. * 40 9-17 3-5 2-2 7 5 0 2 23 - -
Amen Thompson * 37 6-7 0-0 1-2 8 4 2 1 13 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 13-22 6-11 5-6 8 6 1 1 37 - -
Jalen Green * 33 6-17 2-9 0-2 5 5 1 0 14 - -
Dillon Brooks * 32 5-10 3-4 2-2 5 3 0 0 15 - -
Jock Landale 23 3-4 1-2 1-2 2 4 1 2 8 - -
Jeff Green 16 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 - -
Cam Whitmore 5 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jermaine Samuels Jr. 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Hinton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Nate Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter