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2024-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% -
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% -
Margin 75.4% 24.6% -6.2 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% -
Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% -
Log Adjusted 72.4% 27.6% -
Points Off/Def 62.0% 38.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (104-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 9-19 4-9 0-0 5 6 0 1 22 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 7-19 0-6 0-0 10 3 4 0 14 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 5-13 2-6 0-0 7 5 1 1 12 - -
Derrick White * 31 3-10 3-9 0-0 4 3 2 0 9 - -
Xavier Tillman * 18 2-7 2-5 0-0 0 2 1 2 6 - -
Sam Hauser 28 3-8 2-6 0-0 5 2 2 0 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 23 2-9 2-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 20 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Oshae Brissett 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 36 5-11 2-5 0-0 3 5 1 1 12 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 5-8 2-4 0-0 6 9 1 0 12 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 28 7-11 0-0 1-2 8 7 1 2 15 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 5-9 5-8 0-0 6 0 0 2 15 - -
Patrick Beverley * 26 8-13 4-8 0-0 10 3 0 0 20 - -
Malik Beasley 25 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Bobby Portis 21 7-13 1-2 0-0 10 2 1 0 15 - -
Pat Connaughton 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 - -
AJ Green 18 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Livingston 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter