Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -17 (123-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 31 | 10-16 | 3-8 | 7-10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 20 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 27 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 21 | 10-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kendall Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quenton Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 34 | 7-19 | 0-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Javon Freeman-Liberty * | 33 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 33 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 10-19 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malik Williams | 14 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter