Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✓ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -26 (104-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 13-25 | 8-17 | 5-7 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 19 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 34 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 23 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marques Bolden | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Leaky Black | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter