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2024-04-07

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% - ✗
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 ✗ (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% - ✗
Efficiency 50.8% 49.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 50.2% 49.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (105-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 41 12-22 7-12 0-0 4 5 0 0 31 - -
Zion Williamson * 39 11-21 0-0 7-8 10 7 1 5 29 - -
Trey Murphy III * 38 4-13 3-10 2-2 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Herbert Jones * 33 0-2 0-2 4-4 5 3 1 0 4 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 3 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 31 3-6 0-2 3-3 8 7 3 1 9 - -
Dyson Daniels 28 4-8 1-3 1-2 6 2 1 1 10 - -
Jose Alvarado 22 5-10 5-8 0-0 3 0 1 0 15 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 38 13-19 7-8 0-0 3 5 0 2 33 - -
Kevin Durant * 38 8-22 3-8 4-4 4 6 0 0 23 - -
Devin Booker * 38 9-16 0-6 7-8 3 7 1 0 25 - -
Grayson Allen * 36 4-11 3-10 0-0 5 1 2 2 11 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 31 2-7 0-0 2-2 10 6 3 1 6 - -
Eric Gordon 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 - -
Drew Eubanks 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 0 - -
Royce O'Neale 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 2 0 - -
Bol Bol 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter