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2024-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% -
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% -
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +8 (130-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 41 11-19 2-6 8-12 10 5 2 3 32 - -
Corey Kispert * 39 7-13 5-7 2-4 3 3 0 0 21 - -
Jordan Poole * 39 10-23 4-10 5-5 4 12 2 0 29 - -
Tristan Vukcevic * 23 4-10 1-5 2-2 9 4 0 3 11 - -
Johnny Davis * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 33 5-10 3-7 3-4 11 1 2 2 16 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 20 1-6 0-2 2-3 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Jared Butler 16 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 7 - -
Justin Champagnie 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 - -
Jules Bernard 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 36 9-19 0-3 4-6 8 7 0 1 22 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 36 9-15 3-7 10-10 7 13 1 0 31 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 35 9-16 2-4 0-0 7 5 3 0 20 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 34 8-12 2-5 3-4 9 5 3 1 21 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 27 3-7 0-3 3-6 3 1 1 1 9 - -
Gradey Dick 24 5-9 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Bruce Brown 19 4-7 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Javon Freeman-Liberty 8 0-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 8 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Malik Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen McDaniels 3 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter