Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.2 | ✓ (24.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +32 (142-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 4-15 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 33 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 29 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 19 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 13 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 33 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 27 | 9-12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 20 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 19 | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 23 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 23 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Jay Huff | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter