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2024-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 63.0% 37.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% - ✗
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 ✗ (23.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +19 (116-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 38 4-13 2-9 0-2 5 7 3 2 10 - -
Darius Garland * 34 11-25 4-9 0-0 2 2 5 0 26 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 6-12 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 0 12 - -
Max Strus * 29 2-8 1-5 0-0 6 4 0 0 5 - -
Evan Mobley * 28 2-6 1-2 3-4 3 3 2 1 8 - -
Caris LeVert 28 8-14 1-3 4-4 7 2 0 0 21 - -
Georges Niang 22 5-6 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Sam Merrill 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 4 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Pete Nance 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Mobley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 36 7-11 1-1 7-9 13 4 3 6 22 - -
LeBron James * 35 10-18 1-5 3-5 5 12 1 1 24 - -
Austin Reaves * 33 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 6 1 0 7 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 31 11-17 6-12 0-0 5 2 1 1 28 - -
Rui Hachimura * 27 3-9 1-5 0-2 5 0 0 1 7 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 25 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 3 0 6 - -
Taurean Prince 20 7-9 4-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 18 - -
Gabe Vincent 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 4 - -
Max Christie 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Colin Castleton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter