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2024-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% -
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Log Adjusted 61.1% 38.9% -
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +10 (97-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naz Reid * 32 3-13 1-5 1-2 11 2 2 2 8 - -
Anthony Edwards * 32 6-19 2-6 3-3 8 3 3 0 17 - -
Rudy Gobert * 29 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 4 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 26 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 6 - -
Mike Conley * 24 1-6 1-3 2-2 0 3 0 0 5 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 22 4-9 3-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 13 - -
Monte Morris 22 3-5 2-3 1-2 4 3 0 1 9 - -
Kyle Anderson 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 13 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Josh Minott 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
T.J. Warren 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Leonard Miller 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Luka Garza 4 1-4 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 34 9-14 1-4 3-3 6 6 1 0 22 - -
Devin Booker * 34 3-12 1-5 6-6 3 13 3 0 13 - -
Grayson Allen * 33 6-14 4-8 7-8 8 1 2 0 23 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 26 5-11 0-0 1-3 15 6 3 1 11 - -
Bradley Beal * 26 6-9 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 14 - -
Royce O'Neale 20 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Drew Eubanks 17 1-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 5 - -
Eric Gordon 17 1-3 0-0 2-3 1 1 2 0 4 - -
Bol Bol 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 - -
Josh Okogie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Udoka Azubuike 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Thomas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Thaddeus Young 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter