Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +14 (109-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 36 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 36 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 15 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 12 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 8-25 | 6-15 | 3-3 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 34 | 10-21 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 20 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter