Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -2 (109-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 34 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 26 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 27 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 24 | 6-15 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 39 | 13-29 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 27 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter