Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 37 | 11-22 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 36 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 14-15 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 35 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Javon Freeman-Liberty | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malik Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 10-24 | 4-12 | 12-14 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 20 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 33 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 27 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter