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2024-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 79.2% 20.8% -
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% -
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% -
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +18 (108-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Ivey * 32 10-15 6-8 5-6 3 3 0 0 31 - -
Marcus Sasser * 25 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 - -
Tosan Evbuomwan * 24 3-5 0-1 2-3 2 3 1 1 8 - -
Jalen Duren * 24 6-12 0-1 5-5 10 0 1 0 17 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 22 2-6 1-3 0-0 7 3 2 0 5 - -
Malachi Flynn 22 0-12 0-7 3-4 1 6 2 0 3 - -
Chimezie Metu 22 3-6 0-3 0-0 6 1 4 0 6 - -
Jared Rhoden 21 2-5 1-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Jaylen Nowell 20 5-9 0-1 2-4 3 2 1 1 12 - -
James Wiseman 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Buddy Boeheim 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Evan Fournier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake LaRavia * 33 4-15 1-8 3-3 5 2 1 1 12 - -
Trey Jemison * 31 7-9 0-0 3-3 13 1 1 3 17 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 29 7-10 2-4 0-0 3 7 4 1 16 - -
Jordan Goodwin * 28 4-9 2-2 4-4 6 6 1 0 14 - -
GG Jackson * 26 6-12 3-6 0-1 3 4 0 0 15 - -
Zavier Simpson 32 1-9 0-4 0-0 2 3 2 1 2 - -
Maozinha Pereira 30 6-10 2-4 3-3 9 0 1 1 17 - -
Lamar Stevens 27 7-16 0-3 1-2 8 1 3 0 15 - -

* = starter