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2024-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 19.7% 80.3% -
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% -
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.5% 77.5% -
Log Adjusted 22.5% 77.5% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +1 (101-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 44 16-29 7-13 1-2 4 2 1 0 40 - -
Keegan Murray * 41 4-15 2-10 0-0 11 4 1 1 10 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 6-13 0-0 4-7 16 6 1 1 16 - -
Harrison Barnes * 28 3-9 2-8 2-4 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Keon Ellis * 17 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 - -
Davion Mitchell 24 3-8 1-4 0-0 6 5 0 0 7 - -
Trey Lyles 17 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 13 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Kessler Edwards 10 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Colby Jones 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Alex Len 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Hauser * 36 1-18 1-13 0-0 7 3 1 0 3 - -
Jayson Tatum * 32 5-15 1-6 6-8 6 5 0 0 17 - -
Jrue Holiday * 30 5-8 0-2 0-0 4 7 0 0 10 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 24 7-10 2-2 4-4 11 2 2 1 20 - -
Al Horford * 20 3-7 1-5 1-2 6 1 0 1 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 33 8-16 5-10 0-0 1 3 2 0 21 - -
Xavier Tillman 19 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 6 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jordan Walsh 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Oshae Brissett 6 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter