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2024-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 78.2% 21.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% - ✓
Margin 79.7% 20.3% -7.5 ✓ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - ✗
Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - ✗

Actual: Washington Wizards -6 (102-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 40 13-25 0-0 8-9 13 3 2 2 34 - -
Jabari Walker * 39 2-6 2-4 5-8 13 3 0 0 11 - -
Rayan Rupert * 31 1-8 1-5 0-0 7 4 2 1 3 - -
Scoot Henderson * 30 8-14 2-4 1-1 3 7 1 0 19 - -
Kris Murray * 28 6-13 1-5 0-1 5 0 0 0 13 - -
Dalano Banton 33 8-20 2-6 3-5 8 8 0 0 21 - -
Justin Minaya 25 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 2 2 - -
Duop Reath 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 40 4-11 1-7 3-3 3 5 2 0 12 - -
Deni Avdija * 38 7-12 0-2 8-8 12 0 1 2 22 - -
Jordan Poole * 35 8-20 3-10 1-2 5 9 0 0 20 - -
Tristan Vukcevic * 24 7-16 0-5 3-6 7 2 2 1 17 - -
Johnny Davis * 20 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Anthony Gill 30 4-11 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 8 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 17 2-3 0-1 1-4 6 0 1 1 5 - -
Justin Champagnie 13 1-2 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 3 - -
Jared Butler 12 1-7 0-5 4-4 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 6 1-3 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter