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2024-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 81.2% 18.8% -
Bradley-Terry 72.8% 27.2% -
Margin 86.3% 13.7% -10.1 (24.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -
Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% -
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +14 (126-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 35 6-17 0-2 2-2 9 12 1 0 14 - -
Isaiah Joe * 31 3-8 2-5 2-2 4 3 1 0 10 - -
Luguentz Dort * 31 8-15 2-7 4-5 2 1 0 0 22 - -
Chet Holmgren * 28 4-12 1-6 6-8 8 0 0 3 15 - -
Gordon Hayward * 13 2-3 0-0 3-3 0 0 1 0 7 - -
Kenrich Williams 25 7-7 2-2 2-2 8 3 0 1 18 - -
Cason Wallace 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 1 2 - -
Lindy Waters III 17 5-9 1-5 1-1 4 3 2 0 12 - -
Aaron Wiggins 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Jaylin Williams 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 - -
Mike Muscala 6 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 35 3-8 2-6 0-0 2 11 1 0 8 - -
Pascal Siakam * 29 8-10 1-1 4-5 5 2 0 0 21 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 27 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 25 6-10 4-7 1-1 4 1 1 0 17 - -
Myles Turner * 17 6-11 2-3 2-2 3 0 1 1 16 - -
Obi Toppin 25 6-10 1-3 2-2 8 1 2 1 15 - -
Ben Sheppard 22 3-10 2-6 0-0 2 0 2 0 8 - -
T.J. McConnell 20 7-12 0-0 2-2 5 10 0 1 16 - -
Jalen Smith 12 3-6 0-2 6-7 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Doug McDermott 12 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Isaiah Jackson 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 2 4 - -

* = starter