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2024-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% -
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Log Adjusted 53.3% 46.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: LA Clippers +2 (102-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 40 14-24 3-8 5-6 17 10 0 0 36 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 37 6-18 2-10 0-0 9 1 0 1 14 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 37 6-13 4-7 0-1 4 3 1 1 16 - -
Aaron Gordon * 35 5-10 0-2 8-14 6 7 1 2 18 - -
Reggie Jackson * 21 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Christian Braun 33 3-9 1-4 0-0 8 3 1 0 7 - -
Peyton Watson 18 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Justin Holiday 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre Jordan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Julian Strawther 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 6-23 2-13 6-7 6 8 1 0 20 - -
Paul George * 36 10-21 2-6 6-8 4 2 3 0 28 - -
Ivica Zubac * 34 4-11 0-0 6-6 15 1 1 0 14 - -
Terance Mann * 18 2-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 6 - -
P.J. Tucker * 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Norman Powell 35 4-12 2-7 1-2 3 3 1 0 11 - -
Russell Westbrook 23 4-9 0-2 4-4 6 5 1 1 12 - -
Amir Coffey 23 3-5 1-2 2-3 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Mason Plumlee 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter