Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✗ (26.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -23 (110-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 29 | 11-15 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 27 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 21 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 3 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 31 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 29 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 23 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter