Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -4 (105-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 41 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 41 | 15-26 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 33 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Nicolas Batum * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 32 | 11-25 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 13 | - | |
| KJ Martin | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Paul Reed | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 11 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 39 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 7-20 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 29 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 30 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 28 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 18 | 5-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | - |
* = starter