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2024-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 58.7% 41.3% -
Margin 70.7% 29.3% -4.8 (25.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Log Adjusted 43.5% 56.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +21 (122-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 39 7-17 1-4 0-0 1 8 2 0 15 - -
Max Strus * 38 4-9 1-5 0-0 12 8 1 1 9 - -
Jarrett Allen * 37 9-15 0-0 2-2 5 4 0 0 20 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 37 8-17 2-7 6-6 3 2 2 2 24 - -
Evan Mobley * 36 8-13 1-2 3-3 9 5 1 1 20 - -
Caris LeVert 24 3-5 2-4 3-4 3 1 3 0 11 - -
Georges Niang 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Merrill 4 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Pete Nance 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Mobley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 36 13-25 5-9 9-9 1 8 1 0 40 - -
Kevin Durant * 35 13-23 3-7 3-4 6 7 1 0 32 - -
Royce O'Neale * 34 6-9 5-7 0-0 6 2 1 0 17 - -
Bradley Beal * 32 3-9 1-3 0-0 6 7 2 0 7 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 31 0-4 0-0 2-2 10 6 2 0 2 - -
Eric Gordon 24 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Bol Bol 22 5-8 3-4 2-2 6 1 2 2 15 - -
Drew Eubanks 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 - -
Isaiah Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
David Roddy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Udoka Azubuike 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Saben Lee 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter