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2024-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 65.7% 34.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 69.2% 30.8% - ✓
Margin 76.7% 23.3% -6.5 ✓ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% - ✗
Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% - ✗

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -9 (108-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 10-24 2-6 10-13 6 4 1 0 32 - -
Franz Wagner * 33 8-14 3-6 5-6 2 5 0 1 24 - -
Gary Harris * 30 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Suggs * 30 3-6 1-2 0-2 4 2 2 0 7 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 24 5-7 3-4 1-2 11 3 0 0 14 - -
Jonathan Isaac 21 3-5 1-3 1-2 5 2 1 1 8 - -
Cole Anthony 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 6 2 0 5 - -
Joe Ingles 15 1-3 1-3 1-1 3 2 2 0 4 - -
Markelle Fultz 14 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Moritz Wagner 14 7-9 1-2 3-3 3 1 0 0 18 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 41 10-24 5-12 11-11 10 4 2 0 36 - -
Herbert Jones * 40 2-5 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 6 - -
Trey Murphy III * 37 3-7 2-6 6-7 7 2 1 0 14 - -
Zion Williamson * 29 7-16 0-0 1-4 2 5 2 1 15 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 18 4-6 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 0 11 - -
Naji Marshall 25 3-5 1-1 1-1 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Dyson Daniels 21 6-8 4-5 0-0 2 3 2 0 16 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Hawkins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Matt Ryan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter