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2024-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 58.8% 41.2% -2.0 (37.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% -
Log Adjusted 37.0% 63.0% -
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +35 (135-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 28 3-10 0-5 9-9 5 0 0 1 15 - -
Aaron Wiggins * 28 4-11 1-1 1-1 1 5 1 1 10 - -
Cason Wallace * 28 4-9 0-3 4-4 1 5 4 1 12 - -
Josh Giddey * 28 7-11 1-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 17 - -
Chet Holmgren * 27 5-14 0-3 1-2 7 2 0 0 11 - -
Kenrich Williams 25 3-9 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Isaiah Joe 20 4-5 2-3 3-4 3 0 1 1 13 - -
Gordon Hayward 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -
Jaylin Williams 14 1-3 0-2 5-6 3 4 0 0 7 - -
Lindy Waters III 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Mike Muscala 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Bismack Biyombo 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 32 9-20 3-9 2-3 7 4 1 2 23 - -
Derrick White * 31 2-5 2-4 2-2 1 6 1 1 8 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 5-9 2-6 0-0 7 4 0 1 12 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 30 11-14 3-3 2-2 12 4 1 5 27 - -
Jayson Tatum * 28 7-15 2-5 8-8 7 3 1 0 24 - -
Payton Pritchard 27 4-10 1-4 2-2 4 8 2 0 11 - -
Al Horford 24 7-10 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 16 - -
Sam Hauser 21 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Luke Kornet 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Oshae Brissett 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter