Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (121-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Sasser * | 32 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tosan Evbuomwan * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 26 | 3-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 34 | 18-25 | 5-9 | 9-12 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 50 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 36 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 35 | 11-16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 10-21 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 33 | 4-15 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 19 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 12 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter