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2024-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% -
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% -
Margin 57.9% 42.1% -1.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.8% 47.2% -
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -3 (86-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Walker * 41 4-17 1-3 5-5 22 2 0 1 14 - -
Scoot Henderson * 37 9-16 4-7 0-2 1 10 1 0 22 - -
Deandre Ayton * 37 12-22 0-1 0-0 16 2 0 0 24 - -
Rayan Rupert * 34 1-5 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 4 - -
Kris Murray * 32 3-6 0-2 0-1 3 0 0 1 6 - -
Dalano Banton 33 5-13 1-4 1-2 2 3 2 0 12 - -
Ashton Hagans 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Duop Reath 10 3-10 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Mann * 34 4-11 0-6 3-4 3 2 3 0 11 - -
Grant Williams * 33 1-6 1-3 2-2 7 11 0 0 5 - -
Brandon Miller * 29 9-20 1-8 2-3 2 1 2 1 21 - -
Davis Bertans * 27 2-7 1-6 2-2 1 4 4 0 7 - -
JT Thor * 27 4-5 0-1 1-1 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 20 2-6 1-3 6-8 3 1 0 2 11 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 18 2-9 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Bryce McGowens 18 3-9 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 7 - -
Leaky Black 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 4 - -
Marques Bolden 14 3-3 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 7 - -

* = starter