Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (110-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaki Branham * | 37 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 9-29 | 2-11 | 3-6 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 17 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 18-32 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 42 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter