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2024-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 27.7% 72.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% -
Log Adjusted 28.1% 71.9% -
Points Off/Def 31.4% 68.6% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 40 9-20 4-13 0-1 5 5 5 0 22 - -
Jalen Green * 38 10-22 2-11 4-4 5 6 0 0 26 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 35 7-14 2-8 2-2 8 3 0 0 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Amen Thompson * 25 4-9 0-0 1-3 9 4 3 0 9 - -
Cam Whitmore 23 5-11 3-6 1-2 1 0 1 0 14 - -
Jeff Green 21 3-6 2-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 8 - -
Jock Landale 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 36 5-16 0-6 11-11 5 3 2 0 21 - -
Rudy Gobert * 35 4-7 0-0 4-6 14 0 0 2 12 - -
Naz Reid * 33 10-17 3-5 2-2 6 2 2 1 25 - -
Mike Conley * 29 4-7 3-4 3-3 2 6 3 0 14 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 27 4-9 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 8 - -
Kyle Anderson 30 6-8 1-2 0-0 6 9 2 2 13 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 18 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 18 4-7 3-4 0-0 1 7 0 0 11 - -
Monte Morris 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter