Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | -2.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (108-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 9-23 | 5-14 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 25 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 24 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 42 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 40 | 12-18 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 30 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter