Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (109-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart * | 45 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Miles McBride * | 44 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 36 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 35 | 11-21 | 6-15 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic | 19 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 34 | 10-15 | 8-11 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 25 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 15 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter