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2024-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 71.7% 28.3% - ✗
Margin 84.4% 15.6% -9.3 ✗ (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% - ✗
Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 77.6% 22.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 67.9% 32.1% - ✗

Actual: Washington Wizards +4 (117-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 15-21 0-0 5-9 15 10 0 0 35 - -
Khris Middleton * 30 9-19 3-8 3-4 9 6 2 0 24 - -
Malik Beasley * 29 2-13 1-10 0-0 2 1 2 0 5 - -
Brook Lopez * 26 3-9 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 3 6 - -
Patrick Beverley * 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 1 2 - -
Pat Connaughton 29 4-11 3-10 4-4 8 5 0 1 15 - -
Bobby Portis 25 6-14 0-3 0-0 12 3 0 1 12 - -
Jae Crowder 20 2-7 1-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
AJ Green 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Danilo Gallinari 5 1-1 1-1 0-1 2 0 1 0 3 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 38 10-18 4-11 3-4 7 0 1 1 27 - -
Anthony Gill * 38 6-11 0-2 0-0 9 0 0 0 12 - -
Deni Avdija * 38 10-17 0-5 3-4 8 5 1 1 23 - -
Jordan Poole * 35 6-14 1-6 3-3 4 13 2 0 16 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 9 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Tristan Vukcevic 31 5-11 1-6 3-3 7 3 1 0 14 - -
Johnny Davis 17 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 - -
Jared Butler 17 7-10 3-3 0-0 3 3 2 0 17 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 14 1-5 0-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter