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2024-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% - ✓
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 ✓ (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - ✓
Efficiency 68.7% 31.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 68.9% 31.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors -17 (111-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 32 9-17 7-14 0-0 2 7 0 0 25 - -
LeBron James * 28 10-12 1-1 2-5 4 9 0 0 23 - -
Anthony Davis * 27 10-20 0-4 1-4 12 1 0 0 21 - -
Rui Hachimura * 25 6-9 2-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 14 - -
Austin Reaves * 25 2-9 1-5 2-2 4 6 0 3 7 - -
Taurean Prince 24 3-8 2-2 0-0 5 5 2 1 8 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 24 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 3 9 - -
Max Christie 20 5-10 2-4 0-0 7 3 2 1 12 - -
Jaxson Hayes 18 3-5 0-0 1-1 7 2 0 0 7 - -
Colin Castleton 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 6 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gradey Dick * 32 6-14 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 14 - -
Bruce Brown * 28 2-6 0-2 1-1 6 1 2 0 5 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 27 7-12 3-7 3-3 3 6 1 0 20 - -
RJ Barrett * 26 11-18 2-3 4-7 6 6 0 0 28 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 26 6-10 0-2 2-2 7 4 1 2 14 - -
Garrett Temple 28 2-8 0-5 2-4 1 0 2 0 6 - -
Jordan Nwora 25 2-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Mouhamadou Gueye 14 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 3 6 - -
Javon Freeman-Liberty 13 2-5 0-1 1-2 5 1 2 0 5 - -
Kobi Simmons 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 1 5 - -
Jalen McDaniels 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter