Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -13 (111-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 7-19 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 19-28 | 8-16 | 6-7 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 52 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 39 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 19 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 39 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 36 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 32 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter