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2024-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Log Adjusted 45.5% 54.5% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -12 (101-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 33 6-7 2-2 6-6 4 6 0 2 20 - -
Dejounte Murray * 33 7-17 3-6 0-0 8 6 0 0 17 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 32 3-12 2-10 0-0 6 4 0 0 8 - -
Clint Capela * 26 6-9 0-0 3-7 11 1 1 2 15 - -
Vit Krejci * 24 6-6 6-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 18 - -
Jalen Johnson 24 4-12 2-5 1-2 4 1 2 0 11 - -
Bruno Fernando 21 4-6 0-0 2-3 4 4 1 0 10 - -
Garrison Mathews 17 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Kobe Bufkin 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 1 3 - -
Wesley Matthews 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 10-23 0-3 11-12 2 5 2 0 31 - -
Coby White * 39 8-21 2-7 4-4 3 3 1 0 22 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 35 7-13 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 15 - -
Alex Caruso * 32 3-13 2-7 0-0 5 3 2 2 8 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 2-7 1-2 0-0 14 3 1 0 5 - -
Andre Drummond 20 5-8 0-0 3-6 18 0 0 0 13 - -
Torrey Craig 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Terry Taylor 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Dalen Terry 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 6 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Onuralp Bitim 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Adama Sanogo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter