Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (113-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 12-23 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 21 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 23 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 38 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 35 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 10-22 | 3-10 | 9-10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 32 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter