Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✗ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -18 (107-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 18-30 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 47 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 34 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 18 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 15 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 32 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 27 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 22 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 22 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 19 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter