Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.1% | 14.9% | -9.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -12 (107-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 35 | 11-19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 22 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 29 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alondes Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kispert * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 34 | 8-20 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. * | 17 | 0-8 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 20 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jules Bernard | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter