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2024-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.9% 64.1% -
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% -
Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% -
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% -
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -15 (120-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 37 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 10 1 2 11 - -
Cameron Payne * 37 9-16 6-10 0-0 1 3 0 0 24 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 36 10-22 6-11 6-7 7 3 2 2 32 - -
Tobias Harris * 30 8-13 1-3 4-4 9 3 0 3 21 - -
Mo Bamba * 13 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 1 4 - -
Nicolas Batum 28 7-8 5-6 0-0 6 2 2 0 19 - -
Buddy Hield 21 5-7 3-5 0-0 3 3 0 1 13 - -
Paul Reed 17 4-7 0-1 1-3 2 0 0 1 9 - -
KJ Martin 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Ricky Council IV 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Brown * 33 7-9 3-4 1-2 4 6 2 0 18 - -
Gradey Dick * 31 3-8 1-3 5-7 1 2 1 0 12 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 31 7-8 1-2 3-4 5 11 3 0 18 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 31 10-20 3-9 0-0 2 2 2 1 23 - -
Javon Freeman-Liberty * 31 4-11 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 0 11 - -
Jordan Nwora 30 8-18 2-7 1-1 4 3 0 1 19 - -
Jalen McDaniels 17 3-6 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Kobi Simmons 15 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Garrett Temple 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Mouhamadou Gueye 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 3 - -

* = starter