Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✗ (29.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +29 (130-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 30 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 28 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 26 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 32 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 12 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 22 | 6-10 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 28 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter