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2024-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% -
Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 61.3% 38.7% -
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -9 (113-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 12-22 0-1 12-16 16 8 3 1 36 - -
Patrick Beverley * 36 6-10 2-5 4-4 5 5 1 1 18 - -
Khris Middleton * 35 9-10 3-3 0-0 6 6 1 0 21 - -
Malik Beasley * 35 4-12 2-9 0-0 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Brook Lopez * 32 3-3 1-1 6-6 3 0 0 2 13 - -
Bobby Portis 21 6-10 0-2 1-2 4 2 2 0 13 - -
Pat Connaughton 16 1-3 0-2 2-4 3 4 0 0 4 - -
Jae Crowder 13 1-5 0-3 3-3 2 0 0 0 5 - -
AJ Green 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 42 7-19 3-10 3-4 8 12 0 0 20 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 37 12-23 5-9 9-10 10 4 1 0 38 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 34 5-13 2-5 1-1 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Vit Krejci * 32 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Clint Capela * 26 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 2 10 - -
Bruno Fernando 21 4-7 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Wesley Matthews 18 4-9 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Garrison Mathews 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Trent Forrest 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Dylan Windler 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter