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2024-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 80.6% 19.4% -
Bradley-Terry 82.2% 17.8% -
Margin 92.8% 7.2% -14.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% -
Log Adjusted 68.2% 31.8% -
Points Off/Def 58.4% 41.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -12 (92-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 35 5-10 3-6 0-0 8 7 2 1 13 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 6-16 3-4 2-2 7 6 1 1 17 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 10-17 3-6 0-0 9 4 0 0 23 - -
Derrick White * 31 5-9 3-7 2-2 3 3 0 0 15 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 31 6-14 1-6 6-6 10 3 2 4 19 - -
Al Horford 30 4-7 1-3 0-0 6 2 1 1 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Sam Hauser 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Xavier Tillman 10 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 40 9-17 0-0 7-14 9 4 1 0 25 - -
Herbert Jones * 40 6-15 4-9 2-2 5 3 2 0 18 - -
Trey Murphy III * 38 3-10 3-6 2-2 9 2 2 1 11 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 10-23 4-11 0-0 2 5 2 1 24 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 - -
Naji Marshall 23 2-4 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 5 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Dyson Daniels 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 - -
Jordan Hawkins 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Matt Ryan 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter