Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (103-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 40 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 10-14 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 11-16 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 33 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 40 | 9-22 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 39 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 38 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 35 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 11 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter