Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -13 (98-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 39 | 8-19 | 0-8 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 34 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 7-15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 33 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 8-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 30 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Leonard Miller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Jackson * | 36 | 4-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 11-24 | 0-3 | 10-13 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 26 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter