Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +25 (128-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 30 | 10-17 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 30 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 28 | 6-16 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 21 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 26 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 24 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 31 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter