Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (56.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +60 (142-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Murray * | 42 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson * | 41 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 24 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 30 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 14 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ibou Badji | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patty Mills * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 27 | 8-17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 26 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 27 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 25 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 21 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter