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2024-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 84.1% 15.9% -
Bradley-Terry 77.9% 22.1% -
Margin 91.2% 8.8% -12.9 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -9 (87-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Ivey * 37 5-17 1-6 2-2 7 5 0 1 13 - -
Cade Cunningham * 36 13-33 2-5 5-5 8 7 2 0 33 - -
Jalen Duren * 34 9-11 0-0 2-2 17 1 3 3 20 - -
Tosan Evbuomwan * 33 2-3 0-1 4-4 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 18 1-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Chimezie Metu 26 2-9 0-4 1-1 3 1 1 1 5 - -
Evan Fournier 25 4-6 2-4 0-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Malachi Flynn 14 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 3 - -
James Wiseman 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 38 6-14 2-6 4-4 11 9 0 0 18 - -
Corey Kispert * 37 9-12 5-7 0-0 6 0 0 0 23 - -
Jordan Poole * 37 3-15 1-8 0-0 3 6 0 1 7 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 36 5-22 0-6 2-4 8 3 0 1 12 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 27 7-9 1-1 0-0 11 1 0 2 15 - -
Jared Butler 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Anthony Gill 17 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Johnny Davis 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jules Bernard 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristan Vukcevic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter