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2024-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +2.0 (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% -
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +19 (109-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 37 9-17 0-1 6-7 15 3 0 0 24 - -
Austin Reaves * 36 7-16 1-7 1-1 13 6 1 0 16 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 35 3-14 0-6 0-0 3 5 1 1 6 - -
LeBron James * 34 6-12 0-3 4-4 10 8 0 0 16 - -
Rui Hachimura * 31 5-10 2-4 2-2 0 0 0 0 14 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 20 1-6 1-5 2-4 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Taurean Prince 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Cam Reddish 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Max Christie 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Colin Castleton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Nesmith * 39 5-11 2-7 0-0 4 2 1 1 12 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 33 7-15 3-8 4-4 8 8 2 0 21 - -
Pascal Siakam * 31 8-16 0-0 6-7 11 6 1 1 22 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 29 4-9 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 10 - -
Myles Turner * 28 4-12 0-5 2-2 5 3 1 2 10 - -
Ben Sheppard 19 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 7 - -
T.J. McConnell 18 7-11 1-1 1-1 3 3 0 0 16 - -
Jalen Smith 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 7 0 2 1 4 - -
Obi Toppin 16 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Jarace Walker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Doug McDermott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter